Despite the new timeline circulating, the situation remains somewhat unclear. Although the current expectation is that they will leave in the first quarter of 2026, the Crown Estate told The Telegraph that Andrew and Fergie technically have until October next year to vacate the property.

Under Andrew’s lease agreement, he is entitled to at least 12 months’ grace after receiving his eviction notice on 30 October.

Another factor complicating the situation is money: Andrew stands to lose close to AUD $1 million in compensation for surrendering his “peppercorn lease” early. This loss is largely due to the extensive repairs required for the deteriorating property.

The increasingly run-down condition of Royal Lodge has caused friction between the Yorks and King Charles for years. One major turning point came in August 2024, when the King withdrew palace-funded security from the residence, leaving Andrew to cover the costs himself—a move widely interpreted as the beginning of their slow exit from the estate.